 |
| DISCUSSION... As of 225 PM EDT Monday...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Isolated showers continue to drift southward across the region this afternoon. There`s a bit more robust activity in Quebec that may make it across the international border a bit later this evening, but overall, expect showers to wane once the sun sets. This will set us up for clearing skies, light winds, and fairly decent radiational cooling overnight. Low level moisture from recent rains should allow valley fog to develop late tonight/early Tuesday morning, especially in the Adirondacks and river valleys in eastern VT. Lows will mainly be in the upper 30s to upper 40s, but some of the sheltered cold locations in the Adirondacks and Northeast Kingdom could drop into the mid 30s. Hence some patchy frost will be possible in these areas, though areal coverage is not enough to warrant any sort of frost headlines.
High pressure will settle across the region thereafter, leading to a stint of drier weather for a good part of the week. Temperatures will exhibit a gradual warming trend; while Tuesday`s highs will be in the mid 60s to mid 70s with a bit of a north breeze, Thursday will feature highs in the upper 70s to upper 80s with west to southwest winds. Can`t totally rule out a few spots hit 90F on Thursday, particularly on the eastern slopes of the Adirondacks due to downsloping of the SW winds. Luckily dewpoints will remain comfortable in the 40s and 50s, so nights will be pleasantly cool and the afternoons won`t be oppressively humid.
KEY MESSAGE 2: Upper level ridging will continue to remain over the region towards the end of the week, continuing to bring warm and dry conditions. Daytime high temperatures look to climb into the upper 70s to mid 80s on Friday. Towards the weekend, chances for showers look to increase as several weak disturbances look to push through the region, but there is plenty of uncertainty regarding timing and the overall pattern this far out. Despite the precipitation chances, temperatures this weekend look to remain seasonably warm with highs in the 70s to low 80s.
. AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Through 18Z Tuesday...VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout the forecast period as high pressure continues to build into the region, with scattered cloud cover continuing throughout much of the afternoon with ceilings around 5000 ft AGL or so. The only exception to VFR conditions will be the potential for fog development overnight leading to localized IFR conditions, with KSLK and KMPV the terminals most likely to see reduced flight conditions. Northerly winds, with gusts of 15 to 20 knots possible, will continue through the afternoon before trending light and variable overnight. Outlook... Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Friday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. $$ WHAT HAS CHANGED...Hastings DISCUSSION...Kremer/HastingsAVIATION ...Kremer US Dept of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service 1325 East West Highway Silver Spring, MD 20910 Comments? Questions? Please Contact Us. Disclaimer Information Quality Help Glossary Privacy Policy Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) About Us Career Opportunities |
 |